YEARLY HIGH
0.4355 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.3904 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4140 RUB

2021 DJF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the DJF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 10, valuing the pair at 0.4355. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 26, dropping to 0.3904.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0451 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4181 to the December average rate of 0.4148, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.4355 was down 4.24% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.4547, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,177 RUB
2020 Average 2,031 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 1,952 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 225.47 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.4302
0.3980
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4175, compared to 0.4106 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0069 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4175
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4106

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.0272 RUB (High: 0.4245 / Low: 0.3974). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0062 RUB (High: 0.4122 / Low: 0.4060).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0272
September Spread (Stable) Âą0.0062

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0121 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0121

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2021: 0.4275) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.4210), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0066 (+1.56%).

2021 Avg (April) 0.4275
2020 Avg (April) 0.4210

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Month High Low Average
January 0.4281 0.4114 0.4181
February 0.4284 0.4119 0.4176
March 0.4306 0.4089 0.4187
April 0.4355 0.4180 0.4275
May 0.4209 0.4111 0.4154
June 0.4131 0.4032 0.4077
July 0.4203 0.4110 0.4155
August 0.4178 0.4090 0.4131
September 0.4122 0.4060 0.4095
October 0.4089 0.3904 0.4006
November 0.4245 0.3974 0.4100
December 0.4208 0.4118 0.4148