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2018 HKD to STD Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018
During 2018, the HKD to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 8, valuing the pair at 2700.1211. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 2515.6003.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 184.5208 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2582.5941 to the December average rate of 2691.2601, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.21% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2700.1211 was down 10.69% compared to the 2017 peak of 3023.3233, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 HKD based on timing:
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HKD to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 2585.6030, compared to 2685.6689 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 100.0659 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 99.2558 STD (High: 2694.3355 / Low: 2595.0797). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.7303 STD (High: 2682.0663 / Low: 2678.3360).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 44.6146 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 2691.8418) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2668.5990), the exchange rate shifted by +23.2428 (+0.87%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 2614.8807 | 2527.4793 | 2582.5941 |
| February | 2562.7879 | 2515.6003 | 2537.9795 |
| March | 2551.5009 | 2521.8672 | 2536.5871 |
| April | 2560.5160 | 2528.3314 | 2540.4234 |
| May | 2694.3355 | 2595.0797 | 2639.2355 |
| June | 2698.2948 | 2652.1910 | 2676.7983 |
| July | 2686.0888 | 2661.6682 | 2674.5539 |
| August | 2682.0663 | 2678.3360 | 2681.5780 |
| September | 2695.5981 | 2681.4172 | 2685.8517 |
| October | 2700.1211 | 2683.3997 | 2691.8418 |
| November | 2692.2196 | 2686.1475 | 2688.9279 |
| December | 2697.2007 | 2686.6532 | 2691.2601 |