YEARLY HIGH
0.6623 EGP
YEARLY LOW
0.6309 EGP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6511 EGP

2021 HNL to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the HNL to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 1, valuing the pair at 0.6623. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 0.6309.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0313 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6482 to the December average rate of 0.6472, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.6623 was up 1.67% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.6514, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,311 EGP
2020 Average 3,196 EGP
Yearly Trough Low 3,155 EGP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 156.71 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.6615
0.6449
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6494, compared to 0.6529 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0035 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6494
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6529

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 0.0237 EGP (High: 0.6546 / Low: 0.6309). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0033 EGP (High: 0.6523 / Low: 0.6490).

January Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0237
November Spread (Stable) Âą0.0033

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0082 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0082

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2021: 0.6601) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.6446), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0156 (+2.41%).

2021 Avg (August) 0.6601
2020 Avg (August) 0.6446

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Month High Low Average
January 0.6546 0.6309 0.6482
February 0.6522 0.6419 0.6462
March 0.6537 0.6447 0.6486
April 0.6553 0.6484 0.6515
May 0.6558 0.6482 0.6503
June 0.6563 0.6483 0.6514
July 0.6622 0.6529 0.6571
August 0.6623 0.6556 0.6601
September 0.6578 0.6485 0.6519
October 0.6527 0.6485 0.6504
November 0.6523 0.6490 0.6507
December 0.6514 0.6430 0.6472