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10-Year HNL to MOP Performance & Macro Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights over the past decade
Over the last 10 years, the HNL to MOP exchange rate has undergone significant macro fluctuations. The market reached its absolute decade peak on December 9, 2019, when the pair was valued at 0.5422. Conversely, the absolute lowest rate of the decade was recorded on July 31, 2026, dropping to a support floor of 0.2997.
This peak-to-trough range represents a total macro spread of 0.2425 MOP. From a long-term perspective, comparing the decade's oldest annual average of 0.3476 (in 2016) to the newest annual average of 0.3032 (in 2026), the exchange rate registered a net shift of -12.79%.
Analyzing macro structural support, the trading dynamics in the recent 5-year period averaged 0.3206, showing a variance of 0.0133 points compared to the older 5-year average of 0.3339.
Value generated converting a dynamic sum of 5,000 HNL over the decade:
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HNL to MOP Macro Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Decade Halves Comparison
Macro ShiftThe average exchange rate in the first 5 years of the decade was 0.3339, compared to 0.3206 in the recent 5 years. This shows that the rate was stronger in the older 5 years by a margin of 0.0133 points.
Annual Volatility Extremes
VolatilityThe most volatile year in the decade was 2019, with a trading range of 0.2205 MOP (High: 0.5422 / Low: 0.3217). Conversely, 2026 was the most stable year, with a range of 0.0071 MOP (High: 0.3068 / Low: 0.2997).
Decade Growth & Declines
Macro TrendsNo sustained consecutive year-over-year average growth streak of 2+ years occurred in the last decade. Conversely, the sharpest year-over-year decline occurred between 2024 and 2025, when the average rate fell by 0.0147 points.
10-Year Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the decade's oldest annual average (2016: 0.3476) against the newest annual average (2026: 0.3032), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0444 (-12.79%).
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| Date | Exchange Rate |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | 0.3013 |
| 2026-08-02 | 0.3014 |
| 2026-08-01 | 0.3015 |
| 2026-07-31 | 0.2997 |
| 2026-07-30 | 0.3034 |
| 2026-07-29 | 0.3006 |
| 2026-07-28 | 0.3010 |
| 2026-07-27 | 0.3018 |
| 2026-07-26 | 0.3016 |
| 2026-07-25 | 0.3016 |
| 2026-07-24 | 0.3015 |
| 2026-07-23 | 0.3015 |
| 2026-07-22 | 0.3016 |
| 2026-07-21 | 0.3016 |
| 2026-07-20 | 0.3015 |
| 2026-07-19 | 0.3015 |
| 2026-07-18 | 0.3015 |
| 2026-07-17 | 0.3015 |
| 2026-07-16 | 0.3014 |
| 2026-07-15 | 0.3017 |
| 2026-07-14 | 0.3013 |
| 2026-07-13 | 0.3016 |
| 2026-07-12 | 0.3016 |
| 2026-07-11 | 0.3004 |
| 2026-07-10 | 0.3014 |
| 2026-07-09 | 0.3016 |
| 2026-07-08 | 0.3014 |
| 2026-07-07 | 0.3018 |
| 2026-07-06 | 0.3019 |
| 2026-07-05 | 0.3018 |
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