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2018 HUF to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018
During 2018, the HUF to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 0.2100. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 2, dropping to 0.1833.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0267 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1994 to the December average rate of 0.1862, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.2100 was up 4.72% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2005, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:
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HUF to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 0.2004, compared to 0.1900 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.0105 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0127 PHP (High: 0.2058 / Low: 0.1931). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0049 PHP (High: 0.2080 / Low: 0.2031).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0099 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 0.2055) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1724), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0331 (+19.19%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0.2058 | 0.1931 | 0.1994 |
| February | 0.2100 | 0.2024 | 0.2055 |
| March | 0.2080 | 0.2031 | 0.2058 |
| April | 0.2079 | 0.1990 | 0.2048 |
| May | 0.1987 | 0.1896 | 0.1950 |
| June | 0.1959 | 0.1883 | 0.1920 |
| July | 0.1942 | 0.1887 | 0.1923 |
| August | 0.1928 | 0.1871 | 0.1903 |
| September | 0.1970 | 0.1896 | 0.1936 |
| October | 0.1941 | 0.1862 | 0.1912 |
| November | 0.1887 | 0.1833 | 0.1861 |
| December | 0.1896 | 0.1833 | 0.1862 |