YEARLY HIGH
80.5991 STD
YEARLY LOW
73.2807 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
76.5271 STD

2018 HUF to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HUF to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 80.5991. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 73.2807.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.3185 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 79.7037 to the December average rate of 74.2246, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 80.5991 was down 0.56% compared to the 2017 peak of 81.0501, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 80,599,138 STD
2017 Average 79,251,029 STD
Yearly Trough Low 73,280,650 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,318,487.48 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

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80.2516
73.6767
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 78.1075, compared to 74.9466 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.1610 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 78.1075
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 74.9466

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 2.9573 STD (High: 77.4252 / Low: 74.4679). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7845 STD (High: 78.9239 / Low: 78.1394).

June Spread (Volatile) Âą2.9573
March Spread (Stable) Âą0.7845

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 1.2977 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2977

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 79.7037) against the same month in 2017 (average: 79.4217), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2819 (+0.36%).

2018 Avg (January) 79.7037
2017 Avg (January) 79.4217

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Month High Low Average
January 80.5991 78.8563 79.7037
February 79.6740 77.7970 78.6288
March 78.9239 78.1394 78.5467
April 79.2410 77.4339 78.4942
May 78.1650 76.0127 77.2848
June 77.4252 74.4679 75.9871
July 76.5832 74.1941 75.6364
August 76.4587 73.5592 75.2261
September 76.6302 74.4266 75.5082
October 75.9223 73.3570 74.8222
November 75.0601 73.2807 74.2619
December 75.1941 73.5187 74.2246