YEARLY HIGH
1.6246 STD
YEARLY LOW
1.4636 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5568 STD

2014 IDR to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the IDR to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 8, valuing the pair at 1.6246. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 1.4636.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1610 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4861 to the December average rate of 1.5999, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.66% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.6246 was down 17.97% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.9805, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 10,000,000 IDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,245,796 STD
2013 Average 17,834,654 STD
Yearly Trough Low 14,635,588 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,610,208.15 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

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1.6283
1.4732
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

IDR to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5269, compared to 1.5867 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0597 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5269
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5867

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.0889 STD (High: 1.6210 / Low: 1.5321). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0235 STD (High: 1.6246 / Low: 1.6011).

December Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0889
November Spread (Stable) Âą0.0235

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0325 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0325

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 1.6153) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.5717), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0436 (+2.78%).

2014 Avg (November) 1.6153
2013 Avg (November) 1.5717

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Month High Low Average
January 1.5084 1.4636 1.4861
February 1.5381 1.4833 1.5074
March 1.5704 1.5301 1.5511
April 1.5813 1.5226 1.5533
May 1.5758 1.5191 1.5480
June 1.5415 1.4880 1.5156
July 1.5772 1.5048 1.5483
August 1.5921 1.5483 1.5696
September 1.6137 1.5819 1.5951
October 1.6112 1.5695 1.5916
November 1.6246 1.6011 1.6153
December 1.6210 1.5321 1.5999