YEARLY HIGH
36.4797 KES
YEARLY LOW
32.4585 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
33.9509 KES

2021 ILS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ILS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 17, valuing the pair at 36.4797. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 13, dropping to 32.4585.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.0211 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 34.0175 to the December average rate of 36.0631, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 36.4797 was up 5.99% compared to the 2020 peak of 34.4176, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 182,398 KES
2020 Average 154,976 KES
Yearly Trough Low 162,293 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,105.69 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

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36.3774
32.6064
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 33.2690, compared to 34.6328 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.3638 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 33.2690
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 34.6328

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 1.5876 KES (High: 35.1293 / Low: 33.5418). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2869 KES (High: 34.5123 / Low: 34.2254).

January Spread (Volatile) Âą1.5876
September Spread (Stable) Âą0.2869

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.5231 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5231

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2021: 35.8820) against the same month in 2020 (average: 32.5514), the exchange rate shifted by +3.3306 (+10.23%).

2021 Avg (November) 35.8820
2020 Avg (November) 32.5514

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Month High Low Average
January 35.1293 33.5418 34.0175
February 33.7833 33.1305 33.4944
March 33.3591 32.8191 33.0728
April 33.3875 32.4585 32.9206
May 33.4066 32.5448 32.9715
June 33.2862 32.8796 33.1369
July 33.6550 32.7336 33.0574
August 34.2714 33.6484 33.8993
September 34.5123 34.2254 34.3657
October 35.2399 34.1269 34.5292
November 36.4797 35.3280 35.8820
December 36.4753 35.5886 36.0631