YEARLY HIGH
1183.3317 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1077.0050 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1110.1351 UGX

2021 ILS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ILS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 1183.3317. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 19, dropping to 1077.0050.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 106.3267 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1142.3456 to the December average rate of 1134.7289, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1183.3317 was up 4.02% compared to the 2020 peak of 1137.6407, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,916,659 UGX
2020 Average 5,405,952 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 5,385,025 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 531,633.64 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

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1148.0373
1079.7372
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1108.3873, compared to 1111.8829 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.4956 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1108.3873
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1111.8829

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 60.3669 UGX (High: 1183.3317 / Low: 1122.9648). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.1678 UGX (High: 1104.9001 / Low: 1097.7324).

January Spread (Volatile) Âą60.3669
September Spread (Stable) Âą7.1678

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 22.3325 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -22.3325

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 1142.3456) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1063.1614), the exchange rate shifted by +79.1842 (+7.45%).

2021 Avg (January) 1142.3456
2020 Avg (January) 1063.1614

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Month High Low Average
January 1183.3317 1122.9648 1142.3456
February 1129.6944 1105.8515 1120.0131
March 1113.5596 1096.9468 1104.0564
April 1114.5793 1096.3127 1105.6006
May 1108.4747 1077.0698 1090.1852
June 1095.7117 1078.3753 1088.1229
July 1099.1347 1077.0050 1085.4289
August 1105.6764 1087.7981 1097.2264
September 1104.9001 1097.7324 1101.1442
October 1129.9661 1099.0318 1114.0299
November 1160.2675 1118.5924 1138.7393
December 1152.1659 1118.5037 1134.7289