YEARLY HIGH
36.3588 MGA
YEARLY LOW
33.8337 MGA
YEARLY AVERAGE
35.1322 MGA

2021 KES to MGA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to MGA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 6, valuing the pair at 36.3588. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 8, dropping to 33.8337.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5251 MGA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 34.6427 to the December average rate of 35.1138, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.36% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 36.3588 was down 1.55% compared to the 2020 peak of 36.9323, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 181,794 MGA
2020 Average 178,946 MGA
Yearly Trough Low 169,168 MGA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,625.58 MGA purely based on transaction execution date.

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35.8195
34.1715
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MGA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 34.7516, compared to 35.5129 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7613 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 34.7516
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 35.5129

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 1.7072 MGA (High: 35.8247 / Low: 34.1175). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2935 MGA (High: 35.6795 / Low: 35.3860).

January Spread (Volatile) Âą1.7072
November Spread (Stable) Âą0.2935

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.4120 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4120

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2021: 35.4955) against the same month in 2020 (average: 35.8197), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3243 (-0.91%).

2021 Avg (July) 35.4955
2020 Avg (July) 35.8197

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Month High Low Average
January 35.8247 34.1175 34.6427
February 34.5540 33.8337 34.3088
March 34.7102 34.0350 34.4036
April 35.5935 34.6610 35.0960
May 35.4130 34.7320 34.9978
June 35.8233 34.7822 35.0608
July 36.3588 34.8583 35.4955
August 36.0196 34.8819 35.5937
September 35.9368 35.4129 35.6662
October 35.8384 35.3433 35.6822
November 35.6795 35.3860 35.5258
December 35.4051 34.5270 35.1138