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2011 KES to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011
During 2011, the KES to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 25, valuing the pair at 0.5513. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 0.4085.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1428 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5460 to the December average rate of 0.5053, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.5513 was down 10.45% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.6156, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:
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KES to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 0.5177, compared to 0.4633 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.0544 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.0544 PHP (High: 0.4891 / Low: 0.4347). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0093 PHP (High: 0.5208 / Low: 0.5115).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0195 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.5460) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.6081), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0621 (-10.22%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0.5513 | 0.5384 | 0.5460 |
| February | 0.5435 | 0.5285 | 0.5353 |
| March | 0.5250 | 0.5062 | 0.5158 |
| April | 0.5208 | 0.5115 | 0.5150 |
| May | 0.5141 | 0.4980 | 0.5063 |
| June | 0.5029 | 0.4755 | 0.4880 |
| July | 0.4862 | 0.4629 | 0.4752 |
| August | 0.4624 | 0.4474 | 0.4570 |
| September | 0.4574 | 0.4212 | 0.4473 |
| October | 0.4379 | 0.4085 | 0.4294 |
| November | 0.4891 | 0.4347 | 0.4658 |
| December | 0.5242 | 0.4802 | 0.5053 |