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2021 KES to PYG Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the KES to PYG exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 7, valuing the pair at 63.9259. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 11, dropping to 58.1552.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.7707 PYG. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 62.8158 to the December average rate of 60.3480, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 63.9259 was down 1.69% compared to the 2020 peak of 65.0253, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:
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KES to PYG Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 61.4129, compared to 62.1901 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 0.7772 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 3.1221 PYG (High: 63.6419 / Low: 60.5198). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3558 PYG (High: 62.4957 / Low: 62.1399).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 1.4669 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2021: 63.3720) against the same month in 2020 (average: 64.2862), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9142 (-1.42%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 63.3413 | 62.2748 | 62.8158 |
| February | 62.9880 | 60.1178 | 61.4431 |
| March | 60.8626 | 58.7626 | 59.9763 |
| April | 60.5198 | 58.1552 | 59.2070 |
| May | 63.6419 | 60.5198 | 62.4283 |
| June | 62.9636 | 61.9180 | 62.6070 |
| July | 63.8085 | 62.3427 | 63.2189 |
| August | 63.9259 | 62.9646 | 63.3720 |
| September | 62.9873 | 62.1874 | 62.6333 |
| October | 62.4957 | 62.1399 | 62.2966 |
| November | 62.0196 | 60.6492 | 61.2718 |
| December | 60.8182 | 60.0002 | 60.3480 |