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10-Year KES to UGX Performance & Macro Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights over the past decade
Over the last 10 years, the KES to UGX exchange rate has undergone significant macro fluctuations. The market reached its absolute decade peak on June 21, 2018, when the pair was valued at 38.8031. Conversely, the absolute lowest rate of the decade was recorded on January 25, 2024, dropping to a support floor of 23.3309.
This peak-to-trough range represents a total macro spread of 15.4723 UGX. From a long-term perspective, comparing the decade's oldest annual average of 34.1691 (in 2016) to the newest annual average of 28.4055 (in 2026), the exchange rate registered a net shift of -16.87%.
Analyzing macro structural support, the trading dynamics in the recent 5-year period averaged 28.7535, showing a variance of 6.5750 points compared to the older 5-year average of 35.3285.
Value generated converting a dynamic sum of 5,000 KES over the decade:
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KES to UGX Macro Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Decade Halves Comparison
Macro ShiftThe average exchange rate in the first 5 years of the decade was 35.3285, compared to 28.7535 in the recent 5 years. This shows that the rate was stronger in the older 5 years by a margin of 6.5750 points.
Annual Volatility Extremes
VolatilityThe most volatile year in the decade was 2024, with a trading range of 6.6091 UGX (High: 29.9400 / Low: 23.3309). Conversely, 2017 was the most stable year, with a range of 1.2573 UGX (High: 35.5055 / Low: 34.2483).
Decade Growth & Declines
Macro TrendsBetween 2016 and 2018, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the decade, climbing for 2 straight years. Conversely, the sharpest year-over-year decline occurred between 2022 and 2023, when the average rate fell by 4.5537 points.
10-Year Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the decade's oldest annual average (2016: 34.1691) against the newest annual average (2026: 28.4055), the exchange rate shifted by -5.7636 (-16.87%).
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| Date | Exchange Rate |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 28.9470 |
| 2026-08-03 | 28.9452 |
| 2026-08-02 | 29.0165 |
| 2026-08-01 | 28.9541 |
| 2026-07-31 | 28.8353 |
| 2026-07-30 | 28.8591 |
| 2026-07-29 | 29.0637 |
| 2026-07-28 | 29.0411 |
| 2026-07-27 | 29.0295 |
| 2026-07-26 | 29.1127 |
| 2026-07-25 | 29.1167 |
| 2026-07-24 | 29.0786 |
| 2026-07-23 | 28.9329 |
| 2026-07-22 | 28.7655 |
| 2026-07-21 | 28.7170 |
| 2026-07-20 | 28.6051 |
| 2026-07-19 | 28.5812 |
| 2026-07-18 | 28.5590 |
| 2026-07-17 | 28.5774 |
| 2026-07-16 | 28.4983 |
| 2026-07-15 | 28.5587 |
| 2026-07-14 | 28.6558 |
| 2026-07-13 | 28.5527 |
| 2026-07-12 | 28.4731 |
| 2026-07-11 | 28.4886 |
| 2026-07-10 | 28.4818 |
| 2026-07-09 | 28.5212 |
| 2026-07-08 | 28.3468 |
| 2026-07-07 | 28.2685 |
| 2026-07-06 | 28.2543 |
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