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2016 LBP to STD Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016
During 2016, the LBP to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 21, valuing the pair at 15.6469. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 24, dropping to 13.8718.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7751 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.9225 to the December average rate of 15.4272, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 15.6469 was up 1.21% compared to the 2015 peak of 15.4593, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LBP based on timing:
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LBP to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 14.5440, compared to 14.7975 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 0.2536 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.8447 STD (High: 14.7165 / Low: 13.8718). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1438 STD (High: 14.5731 / Low: 14.4293).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.3125 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 15.4272) against the same month in 2015 (average: 14.9051), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5221 (+3.50%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 15.0169 | 14.8460 | 14.9225 |
| February | 14.8959 | 14.5037 | 14.6699 |
| March | 14.9282 | 14.3173 | 14.6105 |
| April | 14.4015 | 14.1344 | 14.2980 |
| May | 14.5668 | 14.0886 | 14.3365 |
| June | 14.7165 | 13.8718 | 14.4264 |
| July | 14.7655 | 14.5664 | 14.6565 |
| August | 14.6455 | 14.3271 | 14.4836 |
| September | 14.5731 | 14.4293 | 14.4830 |
| October | 14.9203 | 14.3433 | 14.7060 |
| November | 15.3390 | 14.5980 | 15.0288 |
| December | 15.6469 | 15.1835 | 15.4272 |