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2019 LRD to STD Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019
During 2019, the LRD to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 133.8249. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 29, dropping to 101.8941.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 31.9309 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 132.3095 to the December average rate of 114.3167, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 133.8249 was down 17.80% compared to the 2018 peak of 162.8092, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:
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LRD to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 124.2922, compared to 106.8546 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 17.4376 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2019 was May, with a trading range of 13.5136 STD (High: 123.8270 / Low: 110.3134). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6894 STD (High: 130.9527 / Low: 130.2632).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 9.6986 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 132.3095) against the same month in 2018 (average: 159.2138), the exchange rate shifted by -26.9043 (-16.90%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 133.8249 | 130.8507 | 132.3095 |
| February | 130.9527 | 130.2632 | 130.7107 |
| March | 130.1427 | 129.2436 | 129.8244 |
| April | 129.1448 | 123.8270 | 126.9187 |
| May | 123.8270 | 110.3134 | 117.2202 |
| June | 110.4124 | 107.7997 | 108.7698 |
| July | 109.8637 | 106.3462 | 107.7805 |
| August | 106.2893 | 103.7948 | 105.9110 |
| September | 104.1586 | 103.0999 | 103.5143 |
| October | 103.0999 | 101.8941 | 102.1388 |
| November | 111.7719 | 101.8941 | 107.4664 |
| December | 114.9909 | 112.3543 | 114.3167 |