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2018 LSL to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018
During 2018, the LSL to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 27, valuing the pair at 4.4991. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 3.4616.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0375 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1468 to the December average rate of 3.7024, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.4991 was up 10.52% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.0707, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LSL based on timing:
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LSL to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 4.2342, compared to 3.7733 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.4609 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.3711 PHP (High: 3.8327 / Low: 3.4616). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1456 PHP (High: 3.8263 / Low: 3.6807).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1764 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2018: 4.3954) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.8928), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5026 (+12.91%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 4.3399 | 4.0160 | 4.1468 |
| February | 4.4958 | 4.2484 | 4.3848 |
| March | 4.4991 | 4.3359 | 4.3954 |
| April | 4.4186 | 4.1428 | 4.3024 |
| May | 4.2743 | 4.0937 | 4.1673 |
| June | 4.1809 | 3.8687 | 4.0087 |
| July | 4.0496 | 3.8611 | 3.9803 |
| August | 4.0235 | 3.6541 | 3.8384 |
| September | 3.8327 | 3.4616 | 3.6620 |
| October | 3.8275 | 3.6214 | 3.7116 |
| November | 3.8263 | 3.6807 | 3.7454 |
| December | 3.8490 | 3.6267 | 3.7024 |