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2012 LSL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012
During 2012, the LSL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 8, valuing the pair at 11.8216. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 26, dropping to 9.7469.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0746 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.1522 to the December average rate of 10.0180, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 11.8216 was down 2.35% compared to the 2011 peak of 12.1060, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LSL based on timing:
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LSL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 10.7532, compared to 10.6754 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.0778 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2012 was October, with a trading range of 0.9376 RSD (High: 10.7531 / Low: 9.8155). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2684 RSD (High: 10.9068 / Low: 10.6384).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.7748 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2012: 11.5023) against the same month in 2011 (average: 10.0638), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4385 (+14.29%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 10.3719 | 10.0020 | 10.1522 |
| February | 10.9643 | 10.4214 | 10.6752 |
| March | 11.1653 | 10.8672 | 11.0271 |
| April | 10.9068 | 10.6384 | 10.8158 |
| May | 11.1489 | 10.6292 | 10.8597 |
| June | 11.2322 | 10.7595 | 10.9894 |
| July | 11.7177 | 11.2052 | 11.4844 |
| August | 11.8216 | 11.1288 | 11.5023 |
| September | 11.2126 | 10.6731 | 10.9109 |
| October | 10.7531 | 9.8155 | 10.1361 |
| November | 10.2397 | 9.7469 | 10.0006 |
| December | 10.1633 | 9.8343 | 10.0180 |