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2021 MDL to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the MDL to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 15, valuing the pair at 115.5158. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 5, dropping to 107.7892.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.7267 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 112.8699 to the December average rate of 112.6546, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 115.5158 was down 1.65% compared to the 2020 peak of 117.4589, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:
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MDL to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 111.2076, compared to 112.6329 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 1.4253 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 3.1337 BIF (High: 111.6802 / Low: 108.5466). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4047 BIF (High: 113.3696 / Low: 111.9649).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 1.5543 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 114.4667) against the same month in 2020 (average: 114.4149), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0518 (+0.05%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 113.7821 | 111.4779 | 112.8699 |
| February | 113.1197 | 111.0196 | 112.0257 |
| March | 111.6802 | 108.5466 | 110.4714 |
| April | 110.6145 | 107.7892 | 109.1993 |
| May | 112.1789 | 109.9522 | 111.3104 |
| June | 112.6371 | 109.7973 | 111.3690 |
| July | 111.1946 | 109.4850 | 110.1730 |
| August | 113.2590 | 110.9355 | 112.2552 |
| September | 113.7746 | 112.3330 | 113.0389 |
| October | 115.5158 | 113.4723 | 114.4667 |
| November | 114.2478 | 112.1865 | 113.2089 |
| December | 113.3696 | 111.9649 | 112.6546 |