YEARLY HIGH
3.7669 PHP
YEARLY LOW
3.2949 PHP
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.4920 PHP

2012 MDL to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MDL to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 3.7669. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 27, dropping to 3.2949.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4720 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.6954 to the December average rate of 3.3690, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.83% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 3.7669 was down 1.48% compared to the 2011 peak of 3.8237, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,834 PHP
2011 Average 18,492 PHP
Yearly Trough Low 16,474 PHP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,359.99 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

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3.7318
3.2951
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.6172, compared to 3.3668 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2504 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.6172
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.3668

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was June, with a trading range of 0.1744 PHP (High: 3.6152 / Low: 3.4408). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0373 PHP (High: 3.6479 / Low: 3.6106).

June Spread (Volatile) Âą0.1744
April Spread (Stable) Âą0.0373

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1499 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1499

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 3.6954) against the same month in 2011 (average: 3.6309), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0645 (+1.78%).

2012 Avg (January) 3.6954
2011 Avg (January) 3.6309

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Month High Low Average
January 3.7669 3.6362 3.6954
February 3.6525 3.5437 3.6063
March 3.6437 3.6058 3.6234
April 3.6479 3.6106 3.6276
May 3.6679 3.5606 3.6178
June 3.6152 3.4408 3.5329
July 3.4467 3.3319 3.3830
August 3.4042 3.3193 3.3707
September 3.3858 3.3416 3.3651
October 3.4180 3.3415 3.3817
November 3.3561 3.2949 3.3315
December 3.4144 3.3055 3.3690