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2021 MDL to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the MDL to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 34.0616. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 24, dropping to 31.9602.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.1014 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 33.6877 to the December average rate of 32.7982, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.64% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 34.0616 was down 4.05% compared to the 2020 peak of 35.4999, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:
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MDL to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 33.0045, compared to 32.8807 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.1238 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was June, with a trading range of 1.1783 SOS (High: 33.2688 / Low: 32.0905). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4409 SOS (High: 33.1819 / Low: 32.7410).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.4992 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 33.6877) against the same month in 2020 (average: 33.4047), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2830 (+0.85%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 34.0616 | 33.2736 | 33.6877 |
| February | 33.7455 | 33.1099 | 33.3728 |
| March | 33.3331 | 32.2454 | 32.8760 |
| April | 32.9082 | 32.0222 | 32.4550 |
| May | 33.2161 | 32.2473 | 32.8745 |
| June | 33.2688 | 32.0905 | 32.7613 |
| July | 32.5726 | 31.9602 | 32.2621 |
| August | 33.1243 | 32.3801 | 32.7789 |
| September | 33.1819 | 32.7410 | 33.0062 |
| October | 33.8739 | 33.1037 | 33.4199 |
| November | 33.5249 | 32.5828 | 33.0189 |
| December | 33.1411 | 32.3525 | 32.7982 |