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2014 MNT to VND Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014
During 2014, the MNT to VND exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 12.8452. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 11.2413.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6039 VND. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.4673 to the December average rate of 11.3740, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.77% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 12.8452 was down 15.87% compared to the 2013 peak of 15.2679, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MNT based on timing:
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MNT to VND Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 11.9843, compared to 11.4826 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.5017 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.5796 VND (High: 12.8452 / Low: 12.2655). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0956 VND (High: 11.7134 / Low: 11.6178).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsNo sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3124 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 12.4673) against the same month in 2013 (average: 15.0405), the exchange rate shifted by -2.5733 (-17.11%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 12.8452 | 12.2655 | 12.4673 |
| February | 12.4666 | 11.9176 | 12.1549 |
| March | 12.2210 | 11.8516 | 11.9889 |
| April | 11.9552 | 11.8518 | 11.8951 |
| May | 11.8276 | 11.6427 | 11.7267 |
| June | 11.7134 | 11.6178 | 11.6728 |
| July | 11.6819 | 11.4100 | 11.5755 |
| August | 11.6926 | 11.2413 | 11.4350 |
| September | 11.7981 | 11.5406 | 11.6053 |
| October | 11.6197 | 11.4711 | 11.5233 |
| November | 11.4965 | 11.3339 | 11.3824 |
| December | 11.4339 | 11.3079 | 11.3740 |