YEARLY HIGH
4.2709 GMD
YEARLY LOW
3.5813 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.8928 GMD

2012 MOP to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MOP to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 31, valuing the pair at 4.2709. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 3.5813.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6897 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.7080 to the December average rate of 3.8892, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 4.2709 was up 13.83% compared to the 2011 peak of 3.7519, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,355 GMD
2011 Average 17,571 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 17,906 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,448.39 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

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4.2444
3.6521
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.7818, compared to 4.0039 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2221 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.7818
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0039

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was November, with a trading range of 0.5230 GMD (High: 4.2588 / Low: 3.7358). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0782 GMD (High: 4.1948 / Low: 4.1167).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą0.5230
September Spread (Stable) Âą0.0782

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.3177 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3177

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2012: 4.1950) against the same month in 2011 (average: 3.6197), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5753 (+15.89%).

2012 Avg (October) 4.1950
2011 Avg (October) 3.6197

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Month High Low Average
January 3.7902 3.5813 3.7080
February 3.8819 3.6752 3.7999
March 3.8635 3.6835 3.8159
April 3.7642 3.6248 3.7015
May 3.8623 3.7544 3.7977
June 3.9451 3.7688 3.8677
July 3.9884 3.8639 3.9350
August 4.1938 3.9429 3.9859
September 4.1948 4.1167 4.1407
October 4.2709 4.1153 4.1950
November 4.2588 3.7358 3.8773
December 4.0811 3.7458 3.8892