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2021 MOP to HKD Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the MOP to HKD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 9, valuing the pair at 0.9781. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 0.9641.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0140 HKD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9705 to the December average rate of 0.9707, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.03% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.9781 was down 0.35% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.9815, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:
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MOP to HKD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 0.9708, compared to 0.9709 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 0.0001 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 0.0117 HKD (High: 0.9781 / Low: 0.9663). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0011 HKD (High: 0.9714 / Low: 0.9703).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0003 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 0.9710) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.9714), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0005 (-0.05%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0.9720 | 0.9662 | 0.9705 |
| February | 0.9714 | 0.9692 | 0.9708 |
| March | 0.9737 | 0.9698 | 0.9710 |
| April | 0.9739 | 0.9683 | 0.9710 |
| May | 0.9781 | 0.9663 | 0.9710 |
| June | 0.9714 | 0.9703 | 0.9708 |
| July | 0.9736 | 0.9704 | 0.9712 |
| August | 0.9722 | 0.9678 | 0.9709 |
| September | 0.9714 | 0.9701 | 0.9708 |
| October | 0.9724 | 0.9705 | 0.9710 |
| November | 0.9715 | 0.9689 | 0.9708 |
| December | 0.9748 | 0.9641 | 0.9707 |