YEARLY HIGH
14.0883 KES
YEARLY LOW
13.3116 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
13.6981 KES

2021 MOP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MOP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 14.0883. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 10, dropping to 13.3116.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7767 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.7588 to the December average rate of 14.0630, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.21% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 14.0883 was up 0.82% compared to the 2020 peak of 13.9740, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 70,442 KES
2020 Average 66,655 KES
Yearly Trough Low 66,558 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,883.55 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

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14.1257
13.3735
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.6038, compared to 13.7923 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1885 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.6038
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.7923

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.2862 KES (High: 13.6371 / Low: 13.3509). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0380 KES (High: 13.5072 / Low: 13.4693).

April Spread (Volatile) Âą0.2862
June Spread (Stable) Âą0.0380

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2223 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2223

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 14.0630) against the same month in 2020 (average: 13.8382), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2249 (+1.63%).

2021 Avg (December) 14.0630
2020 Avg (December) 13.8382

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Month High Low Average
January 13.8096 13.6754 13.7588
February 13.7954 13.6986 13.7308
March 13.7423 13.6719 13.7168
April 13.6371 13.3509 13.4946
May 13.5405 13.3116 13.4362
June 13.5072 13.4693 13.4855
July 13.5641 13.4898 13.5173
August 13.7125 13.5553 13.6334
September 13.7852 13.7162 13.7455
October 13.8882 13.7826 13.8385
November 14.0087 13.8837 13.9562
December 14.0883 14.0267 14.0630