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2021 MOP to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the MOP to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 298.8407. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 50.1409.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 248.6998 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 50.6366 to the December average rate of 62.1185, the exchange rate registered a net change of 22.68% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 298.8407 was down 88.36% compared to the 2020 peak of 2567.7417, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:
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MOP to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 51.1201, compared to 54.2068 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 3.0868 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 244.7987 KMF (High: 298.8407 / Low: 54.0420). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4452 KMF (High: 52.3447 / Low: 51.8995).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.8951 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 62.1185) against the same month in 2020 (average: 131.8601), the exchange rate shifted by -69.7415 (-52.89%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 51.0019 | 50.1409 | 50.6366 |
| February | 51.5582 | 50.7161 | 50.9538 |
| March | 52.4633 | 51.1239 | 51.7556 |
| April | 52.4447 | 50.8295 | 51.6002 |
| May | 51.2685 | 50.3359 | 50.7051 |
| June | 51.9556 | 50.3817 | 51.0692 |
| July | 52.3447 | 51.8995 | 52.0606 |
| August | 52.5187 | 51.6754 | 52.0497 |
| September | 52.8796 | 52.0016 | 52.3262 |
| October | 53.2809 | 52.5949 | 52.9546 |
| November | 54.8029 | 52.9492 | 53.7314 |
| December | 298.8407 | 54.0420 | 62.1185 |