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2012 MOP to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012
During 2012, the MOP to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 5.5209. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 6, dropping to 5.1095.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4114 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.4478 to the December average rate of 5.1393, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 5.5209 was down 0.73% compared to the 2011 peak of 5.5616, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:
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MOP to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 5.3670, compared to 5.2013 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.1658 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.2010 PHP (High: 5.4781 / Low: 5.2771). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0564 PHP (High: 5.3863 / Low: 5.3299).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsNo sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2012. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1077 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 5.4478) against the same month in 2011 (average: 5.5165), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0688 (-1.25%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5.5209 | 5.3534 | 5.4478 |
| February | 5.3780 | 5.2848 | 5.3401 |
| March | 5.3863 | 5.3299 | 5.3630 |
| April | 5.3671 | 5.2755 | 5.3349 |
| May | 5.4781 | 5.2771 | 5.3672 |
| June | 5.4475 | 5.2721 | 5.3492 |
| July | 5.2818 | 5.2047 | 5.2422 |
| August | 5.3158 | 5.2051 | 5.2671 |
| September | 5.2721 | 5.1845 | 5.2256 |
| October | 5.2217 | 5.1476 | 5.1840 |
| November | 5.1783 | 5.1124 | 5.1495 |
| December | 5.1721 | 5.1095 | 5.1393 |