YEARLY HIGH
9.6785 RUB
YEARLY LOW
8.6767 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.2070 RUB

2021 MOP to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MOP to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 11, valuing the pair at 9.6785. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 26, dropping to 8.6767.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0018 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.3238 to the December average rate of 9.1922, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 9.6785 was down 4.39% compared to the 2020 peak of 10.1228, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 48,393 RUB
2020 Average 45,269 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 43,383 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,009.04 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

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9.5688
8.8400
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.2975, compared to 9.1164 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1811 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.2975
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.1164

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.5922 RUB (High: 9.4085 / Low: 8.8163). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1481 RUB (High: 9.1665 / Low: 9.0185).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą0.5922
September Spread (Stable) Âą0.1481

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2621 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2621

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2021: 9.5080) against the same month in 2020 (average: 9.3893), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1188 (+1.27%).

2021 Avg (April) 9.5080
2020 Avg (April) 9.3893

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Month High Low Average
January 9.5433 9.1701 9.3238
February 9.5519 9.1832 9.3082
March 9.5799 9.1034 9.3210
April 9.6785 9.3064 9.5080
May 9.4170 9.1585 9.2459
June 9.2030 8.9823 9.0783
July 9.3499 9.1362 9.2411
August 9.2694 9.1107 9.1747
September 9.1665 9.0185 9.0954
October 9.0778 8.6767 8.9007
November 9.4085 8.8163 9.0942
December 9.3091 9.1238 9.1922