YEARLY HIGH
1.0230 SBD
YEARLY LOW
0.9678 SBD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9898 SBD

2016 MOP to SBD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to SBD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 19, valuing the pair at 1.0230. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 0.9678.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0552 SBD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0159 to the December average rate of 0.9872, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.82% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.0230 was down 0.31% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.0262, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,115 SBD
2015 Average 4,922 SBD
Yearly Trough Low 4,839 SBD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 275.98 SBD purely based on transaction execution date.

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1.0199
0.9710
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SBD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9952, compared to 0.9843 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0109 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9952
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9843

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.0343 SBD (High: 1.0021 / Low: 0.9678). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0035 SBD (High: 0.9762 / Low: 0.9727).

December Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0343
May Spread (Stable) Âą0.0035

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0176 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0176

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.0159) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.9517), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0641 (+6.74%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.0159
2015 Avg (January) 0.9517

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Month High Low Average
January 1.0230 1.0103 1.0159
February 1.0188 1.0072 1.0136
March 1.0177 0.9851 0.9977
April 1.0022 0.9766 0.9927
May 0.9762 0.9727 0.9751
June 0.9920 0.9737 0.9763
July 0.9935 0.9813 0.9874
August 0.9858 0.9733 0.9793
September 0.9892 0.9725 0.9809
October 0.9892 0.9770 0.9816
November 1.0027 0.9777 0.9895
December 1.0021 0.9678 0.9872