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2025 MOP to STD Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025
During 2025, the MOP to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 30, valuing the pair at 2810.6533. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 2, dropping to 2732.7571.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 77.8962 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2778.7875 to the December average rate of 2780.2466, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 2810.6533 was up 0.54% compared to the 2024 peak of 2795.4820, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:
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MOP to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 2776.1903, compared to 2774.7984 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 1.3919 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2025 was February, with a trading range of 68.3935 STD (High: 2801.1506 / Low: 2732.7571). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.0648 STD (High: 2759.9196 / Low: 2753.8548).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 15.9226 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2025: 2784.4152) against the same month in 2024 (average: 2766.3934), the exchange rate shifted by +18.0218 (+0.65%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 2790.9422 | 2766.3784 | 2778.7875 |
| February | 2801.1506 | 2732.7571 | 2778.7803 |
| March | 2810.6533 | 2775.5982 | 2784.4152 |
| April | 2798.2765 | 2778.4865 | 2787.2292 |
| May | 2783.1849 | 2758.1250 | 2771.3066 |
| June | 2759.9196 | 2753.8548 | 2756.6232 |
| July | 2760.6114 | 2753.1426 | 2756.4829 |
| August | 2798.9901 | 2752.4084 | 2766.5974 |
| September | 2790.4103 | 2771.0270 | 2779.6919 |
| October | 2792.2811 | 2775.9039 | 2782.6320 |
| November | 2791.4020 | 2777.9620 | 2783.1397 |
| December | 2783.7287 | 2776.9334 | 2780.2466 |