YEARLY HIGH
94.6044 UGX
YEARLY LOW
80.4105 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
86.3904 UGX

2021 MUR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MUR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 94.6044. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 80.4105.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.1939 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 93.4023 to the December average rate of 81.6240, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 94.6044 was down 7.07% compared to the 2020 peak of 101.8036, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 473,022 UGX
2020 Average 474,130 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 402,052 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 70,969.48 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

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94.5801
80.4462
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MUR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 90.0932, compared to 82.6877 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 7.4056 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 90.0932
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 82.6877

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was June, with a trading range of 4.7976 UGX (High: 87.5145 / Low: 82.7169). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4910 UGX (High: 83.4735 / Low: 81.9825).

June Spread (Volatile) Âą4.7976
September Spread (Stable) Âą1.4910

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 3.4487 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.4487

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 93.4023) against the same month in 2020 (average: 100.5424), the exchange rate shifted by -7.1401 (-7.10%).

2021 Avg (January) 93.4023
2020 Avg (January) 100.5424

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Month High Low Average
January 94.6044 92.0731 93.4023
February 92.9208 91.1453 92.2333
March 92.0884 89.8090 91.1958
April 91.0134 87.8346 89.6797
May 89.2027 85.8664 87.6287
June 87.5145 82.7169 86.4197
July 83.6767 82.1281 82.9710
August 83.6725 82.0506 82.9527
September 83.4735 81.9825 82.9825
October 84.6494 81.7576 83.5290
November 82.8902 80.8659 82.0668
December 83.1146 80.4105 81.6240