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2012 MVR to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012
During 2012, the MVR to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 1, valuing the pair at 66.9223. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 15, dropping to 59.1685.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.7538 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 64.7087 to the December average rate of 60.2156, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.94% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 66.9223 was down 6.90% compared to the 2011 peak of 71.8815, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:
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MVR to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 64.9777, compared to 60.3162 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 4.6615 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 6.9870 CDF (High: 66.9223 / Low: 59.9353). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5029 CDF (High: 60.2128 / Low: 59.7099).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 3.5033 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 61.5501) against the same month in 2011 (average: 64.7737), the exchange rate shifted by -3.2237 (-4.98%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 65.6842 | 64.1688 | 64.7087 |
| February | 65.8528 | 64.2913 | 64.9840 |
| March | 65.7169 | 64.5239 | 65.0721 |
| April | 65.7764 | 64.6768 | 65.0342 |
| May | 65.7909 | 64.4107 | 65.0138 |
| June | 66.0210 | 64.4910 | 65.0534 |
| July | 66.9223 | 59.9353 | 61.5501 |
| August | 60.3916 | 59.6102 | 60.0467 |
| September | 60.2128 | 59.7099 | 59.9661 |
| October | 60.2061 | 59.1685 | 59.9976 |
| November | 60.5983 | 59.6845 | 60.1209 |
| December | 60.8039 | 59.6773 | 60.2156 |