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2019 MVR to STD Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019
During 2019, the MVR to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 15, valuing the pair at 1404.6129. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 23, dropping to 1353.7381.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 50.8748 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1359.5012 to the December average rate of 1396.1638, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.70% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1404.6129 was up 2.24% compared to the 2018 peak of 1373.7936, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:
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MVR to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 1362.8490, compared to 1396.8649 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 34.0159 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 38.2899 STD (High: 1395.5188 / Low: 1357.2289). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.5326 STD (High: 1400.0547 / Low: 1395.5221).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 1.6362 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2019: 1395.8630) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1360.5613), the exchange rate shifted by +35.3017 (+2.59%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1362.4984 | 1353.7381 | 1359.5012 |
| February | 1367.3663 | 1358.1008 | 1361.6367 |
| March | 1366.9220 | 1357.2289 | 1361.7554 |
| April | 1370.9244 | 1358.1000 | 1364.1943 |
| May | 1371.3761 | 1358.1026 | 1365.4401 |
| June | 1395.5188 | 1357.2289 | 1364.5664 |
| July | 1404.6129 | 1391.0174 | 1395.8630 |
| August | 1401.1877 | 1391.0181 | 1394.2268 |
| September | 1400.0547 | 1395.5221 | 1398.9629 |
| October | 1402.3323 | 1393.2631 | 1398.5015 |
| November | 1404.6117 | 1391.0187 | 1397.4715 |
| December | 1400.0513 | 1394.6177 | 1396.1638 |