YEARLY HIGH
4.8042 UGX
YEARLY LOW
4.3203 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.4900 UGX

2021 MWK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MWK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 4.8042. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 27, dropping to 4.3203.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4839 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7746 to the December average rate of 4.3612, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 4.8042 was down 9.60% compared to the 2020 peak of 5.3141, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MWK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,021 UGX
2020 Average 24,980 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 21,602 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,419.55 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

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4.8180
4.2968
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MWK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.6144, compared to 4.3657 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2487 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.6144
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.3657

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.1547 UGX (High: 4.6668 / Low: 4.5122). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0449 UGX (High: 4.3652 / Low: 4.3203).

April Spread (Volatile) Âą0.1547
September Spread (Stable) Âą0.0449

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1275 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1275

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 4.7746) against the same month in 2020 (average: 4.9964), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2218 (-4.44%).

2021 Avg (January) 4.7746
2020 Avg (January) 4.9964

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Month High Low Average
January 4.8042 4.7186 4.7746
February 4.7557 4.6907 4.7134
March 4.7081 4.6422 4.6788
April 4.6668 4.5122 4.6088
May 4.5367 4.4392 4.4813
June 4.4728 4.3969 4.4293
July 4.4583 4.3656 4.3964
August 4.3936 4.3423 4.3549
September 4.3652 4.3203 4.3402
October 4.4436 4.3415 4.3844
November 4.3860 4.3243 4.3569
December 4.3888 4.3246 4.3612