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2018 MXN to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018
During 2018, the MXN to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 16, valuing the pair at 89.6780. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 14, dropping to 77.4085.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.2695 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 84.7091 to the December average rate of 80.9595, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.43% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 89.6780 was down 3.07% compared to the 2017 peak of 92.5187, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 MXN based on timing:
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MXN to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 84.7187, compared to 83.9742 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.7444 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 8.1062 CDF (High: 88.9732 / Low: 80.8670). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.9099 CDF (High: 87.7432 / Low: 84.8333).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 5.2837 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 87.9095) against the same month in 2017 (average: 73.4993), the exchange rate shifted by +14.4102 (+19.61%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 86.7639 | 79.5028 | 84.7091 |
| February | 87.7432 | 84.8333 | 86.4088 |
| March | 88.9878 | 85.7232 | 86.9788 |
| April | 89.6780 | 85.3036 | 87.9095 |
| May | 85.2052 | 80.8570 | 82.6258 |
| June | 81.7528 | 77.4085 | 79.6799 |
| July | 88.9732 | 80.8670 | 85.3121 |
| August | 88.2609 | 84.7773 | 86.3095 |
| September | 87.5207 | 84.2264 | 86.0909 |
| October | 87.3072 | 80.0761 | 84.9176 |
| November | 82.5089 | 78.1365 | 80.2558 |
| December | 83.3176 | 78.4784 | 80.9595 |