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2016 MXN to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016
During 2016, the MXN to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 4.4058. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 2.9191.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4867 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.2460 to the December average rate of 3.0226, the exchange rate registered a net change of -28.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.4058 was down 5.70% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.6723, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 MXN based on timing:
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MXN to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 3.8873, compared to 3.3139 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.5734 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.3844 RUB (High: 3.4832 / Low: 3.0988). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0811 RUB (High: 3.5525 / Low: 3.4714).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsNo sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2182 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 4.2460) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.3603), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1142 (-2.62%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 4.4058 | 4.1725 | 4.2460 |
| February | 4.2672 | 4.0983 | 4.1824 |
| March | 4.1043 | 3.8887 | 3.9642 |
| April | 3.9222 | 3.7517 | 3.8078 |
| May | 3.7995 | 3.5530 | 3.6371 |
| June | 3.6169 | 3.4109 | 3.4863 |
| July | 3.5269 | 3.4130 | 3.4641 |
| August | 3.5525 | 3.4714 | 3.5099 |
| September | 3.5263 | 3.2180 | 3.3616 |
| October | 3.3631 | 3.2264 | 3.3070 |
| November | 3.4832 | 3.0988 | 3.2182 |
| December | 3.1320 | 2.9191 | 3.0226 |