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2014 NPR to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014
During 2014, the NPR to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 24, valuing the pair at 16.5044. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 15.2956.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2088 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.5885 to the December average rate of 15.5878, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 16.5044 was down 10.83% compared to the 2013 peak of 18.5082, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:
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NPR to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 15.9152, compared to 15.8479 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.0673 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2014 was March, with a trading range of 0.6510 BIF (High: 16.2367 / Low: 15.5858). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1658 BIF (High: 15.8918 / Low: 15.7260).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.2093 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 16.2435) against the same month in 2013 (average: 17.8798), the exchange rate shifted by -1.6363 (-9.15%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 15.7420 | 15.3513 | 15.5885 |
| February | 15.7133 | 15.4401 | 15.5732 |
| March | 16.2367 | 15.5858 | 15.8841 |
| April | 16.2346 | 15.8632 | 16.0262 |
| May | 16.5044 | 15.9757 | 16.2435 |
| June | 16.4058 | 15.9875 | 16.1757 |
| July | 16.2196 | 15.9370 | 16.0981 |
| August | 15.9839 | 15.7580 | 15.8888 |
| September | 16.0039 | 15.6852 | 15.8777 |
| October | 16.0503 | 15.5007 | 15.8447 |
| November | 15.8918 | 15.7260 | 15.7901 |
| December | 15.9379 | 15.2956 | 15.5878 |