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2021 NPR to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the NPR to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 28, valuing the pair at 17.2447. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 16.3828.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8618 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.8711 to the December average rate of 16.5985, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 17.2447 was up 2.19% compared to the 2020 peak of 16.8753, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:
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NPR to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 16.9469, compared to 16.7536 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.1933 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.5558 CDF (High: 17.0519 / Low: 16.4960). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1760 CDF (High: 16.8236 / Low: 16.6476).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.3582 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 17.0378) against the same month in 2020 (average: 14.7685), the exchange rate shifted by +2.2694 (+15.37%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 17.0042 | 16.7706 | 16.8711 |
| February | 17.1728 | 16.9405 | 17.0318 |
| March | 17.2378 | 16.8670 | 17.0909 |
| April | 17.0519 | 16.4960 | 16.7328 |
| May | 17.2447 | 16.7635 | 17.0378 |
| June | 17.1175 | 16.7208 | 16.9169 |
| July | 16.8236 | 16.6476 | 16.7217 |
| August | 17.0390 | 16.6866 | 16.7638 |
| September | 16.9988 | 16.7876 | 16.9258 |
| October | 16.8797 | 16.4618 | 16.6821 |
| November | 16.9537 | 16.6593 | 16.8297 |
| December | 16.8286 | 16.3828 | 16.5985 |