YEARLY HIGH
376.4610 CDF
YEARLY LOW
287.6545 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
309.0674 CDF

2016 PGK to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the PGK to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 376.4610. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 11, dropping to 287.6545.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 88.8065 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 307.3898 to the December average rate of 367.0154, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.40% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 376.4610 was up 4.96% compared to the 2015 peak of 358.6762, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,882,305 CDF
2015 Average 1,677,095 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 1,438,272 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 444,032.48 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

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374.3300
286.5545
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 300.6625, compared to 317.4723 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 16.8098 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 300.6625
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 317.4723

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 72.3705 CDF (High: 360.0810 / Low: 287.7105). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.0234 CDF (High: 310.5138 / Low: 306.4904).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą72.3705
August Spread (Stable) Âą4.0234

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 5.2849 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -5.2849

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 367.0154) against the same month in 2015 (average: 310.4870), the exchange rate shifted by +56.5284 (+18.21%).

2016 Avg (December) 367.0154
2015 Avg (December) 310.4870

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Month High Low Average
January 309.1109 304.5685 307.3898
February 307.8380 301.7097 305.3702
March 306.1587 299.9241 302.5600
April 301.4775 294.4149 297.2751
May 299.4022 292.6340 293.8691
June 307.4460 287.6545 297.5107
July 308.4087 297.1209 300.7846
August 310.5138 306.4904 308.4191
September 310.5351 304.2440 307.9688
October 310.0427 302.6661 306.4830
November 360.0810 287.7105 314.1627
December 376.4610 357.2579 367.0154