YEARLY HIGH
5.1633 MDL
YEARLY LOW
4.8093 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.0000 MDL

2021 PGK to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the PGK to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 9, valuing the pair at 5.1633. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 4.8093.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3540 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.8822 to the December average rate of 5.0238, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.90% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 5.1633 was down 4.33% compared to the 2020 peak of 5.3968, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,817 MDL
2020 Average 24,862 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 24,047 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,770.05 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

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5.1442
4.8584
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9876, compared to 5.0124 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0248 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9876
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.0124

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was June, with a trading range of 0.1931 MDL (High: 5.1374 / Low: 4.9443). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0812 MDL (High: 5.0532 / Low: 4.9720).

June Spread (Volatile) Âą0.1931
December Spread (Stable) Âą0.0812

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1163 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1163

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2021: 5.1204) against the same month in 2020 (average: 4.8841), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2363 (+4.84%).

2021 Avg (July) 5.1204
2020 Avg (July) 4.8841

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Month High Low Average
January 4.9456 4.8093 4.8822
February 4.9642 4.8594 4.9222
March 5.1122 4.9365 5.0118
April 5.1019 5.0014 5.0562
May 5.0609 4.9641 5.0126
June 5.1374 4.9443 5.0406
July 5.1633 5.0497 5.1204
August 5.0883 4.9253 5.0041
September 5.0321 4.9073 4.9938
October 4.9836 4.8756 4.9358
November 5.0481 4.9517 4.9964
December 5.0532 4.9720 5.0238