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2021 PGK to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the PGK to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 2.2901. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 2.2453.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0448 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.2614 to the December average rate of 2.2761, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.65% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 2.2901 was down 4.58% compared to the 2020 peak of 2.4001, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:
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PGK to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 2.2631, compared to 2.2746 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 0.0114 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was July, with a trading range of 0.0426 MOP (High: 2.2892 / Low: 2.2466). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0180 MOP (High: 2.2679 / Low: 2.2500).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0073 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 2.2761) against the same month in 2020 (average: 2.2709), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0052 (+0.23%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 2.2741 | 2.2453 | 2.2614 |
| February | 2.2694 | 2.2454 | 2.2576 |
| March | 2.2737 | 2.2487 | 2.2643 |
| April | 2.2679 | 2.2500 | 2.2611 |
| May | 2.2785 | 2.2502 | 2.2660 |
| June | 2.2852 | 2.2470 | 2.2682 |
| July | 2.2892 | 2.2466 | 2.2773 |
| August | 2.2864 | 2.2536 | 2.2700 |
| September | 2.2821 | 2.2514 | 2.2748 |
| October | 2.2838 | 2.2536 | 2.2719 |
| November | 2.2858 | 2.2585 | 2.2771 |
| December | 2.2901 | 2.2599 | 2.2761 |