YEARLY HIGH
1054.9833 UGX
YEARLY LOW
990.7075 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1016.5508 UGX

2021 PGK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the PGK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 1054.9833. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 6, dropping to 990.7075.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 64.2758 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1044.8359 to the December average rate of 1007.1871, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1054.9833 was down 7.10% compared to the 2020 peak of 1135.5560, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,274,916 UGX
2020 Average 5,359,279 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,953,538 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 321,378.84 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

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1049.1481
997.4020
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1025.6839, compared to 1007.4177 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 18.2662 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1025.6839
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1007.4177

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 29.5200 UGX (High: 1030.6899 / Low: 1001.1700). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 11.5490 UGX (High: 1040.7597 / Low: 1029.2107).

October Spread (Volatile) Âą29.5200
March Spread (Stable) Âą11.5490

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 18.0766 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -18.0766

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 1044.8359) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1081.0118), the exchange rate shifted by -36.1759 (-3.35%).

2021 Avg (January) 1044.8359
2020 Avg (January) 1081.0118

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Month High Low Average
January 1054.9833 1028.0621 1044.8359
February 1043.5314 1029.2212 1036.5513
March 1040.7597 1029.2107 1036.8182
April 1037.0747 1013.0019 1024.7775
May 1018.3736 996.9605 1006.7009
June 1015.0783 996.1727 1004.4198
July 1016.3465 999.3202 1010.7601
August 1011.8937 992.5714 1001.7142
September 1011.1710 990.7075 1001.9150
October 1030.6899 1001.1700 1014.3885
November 1017.8698 1001.6232 1008.5414
December 1015.4364 999.1500 1007.1871