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2018 PHP to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018
During 2018, the PHP to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 0.1622. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 22, dropping to 0.1482.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0139 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1594 to the December average rate of 0.1526, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1622 was down 0.31% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1627, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 PHP based on timing:
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PHP to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 0.1553, compared to 0.1513 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.0040 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0056 MOP (High: 0.1622 / Low: 0.1566). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0015 MOP (High: 0.1556 / Low: 0.1541).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0041 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.1594) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1606), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0012 (-0.73%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0.1622 | 0.1566 | 0.1594 |
| February | 0.1573 | 0.1539 | 0.1553 |
| March | 0.1556 | 0.1541 | 0.1550 |
| April | 0.1567 | 0.1540 | 0.1554 |
| May | 0.1566 | 0.1533 | 0.1547 |
| June | 0.1545 | 0.1507 | 0.1523 |
| July | 0.1524 | 0.1509 | 0.1515 |
| August | 0.1530 | 0.1510 | 0.1517 |
| September | 0.1513 | 0.1482 | 0.1496 |
| October | 0.1516 | 0.1483 | 0.1497 |
| November | 0.1546 | 0.1515 | 0.1528 |
| December | 0.1548 | 0.1516 | 0.1526 |