YEARLY HIGH
0.1622 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.1482 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1533 MOP

2018 PHP to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PHP to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 0.1622. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 22, dropping to 0.1482.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0139 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1594 to the December average rate of 0.1526, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1622 was down 0.31% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1627, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 PHP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 40,543 MOP
2017 Average 39,819 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 37,057 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,485.20 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.1604
0.1487
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PHP to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1553, compared to 0.1513 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0040 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1553
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1513

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0056 MOP (High: 0.1622 / Low: 0.1566). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0015 MOP (High: 0.1556 / Low: 0.1541).

January Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0056
March Spread (Stable) Âą0.0015

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0041 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0041

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.1594) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1606), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0012 (-0.73%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.1594
2017 Avg (January) 0.1606

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Month High Low Average
January 0.1622 0.1566 0.1594
February 0.1573 0.1539 0.1553
March 0.1556 0.1541 0.1550
April 0.1567 0.1540 0.1554
May 0.1566 0.1533 0.1547
June 0.1545 0.1507 0.1523
July 0.1524 0.1509 0.1515
August 0.1530 0.1510 0.1517
September 0.1513 0.1482 0.1496
October 0.1516 0.1483 0.1497
November 0.1546 0.1515 0.1528
December 0.1548 0.1516 0.1526