YEARLY HIGH
1.9961 RSD
YEARLY LOW
1.8087 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.9024 RSD

2018 PHP to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PHP to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 1.9961. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 1.8087.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1874 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9249 to the December average rate of 1.9692, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.30% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.9961 was down 16.15% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.3807, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 PHP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 499,035 RSD
2017 Average 534,479 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 452,184 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 46,850.78 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

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1.9854
1.8261
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PHP to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8801, compared to 1.9247 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0446 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8801
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.9247

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.1241 RSD (High: 1.9864 / Low: 1.8624). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0273 RSD (High: 1.9045 / Low: 1.8772).

January Spread (Volatile) Âą0.1241
July Spread (Stable) Âą0.0273

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0776 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0776

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 1.9692) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.9973), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0281 (-1.41%).

2018 Avg (December) 1.9692
2017 Avg (December) 1.9973

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Month High Low Average
January 1.9864 1.8624 1.9249
February 1.8875 1.8087 1.8473
March 1.8551 1.8222 1.8393
April 1.8948 1.8316 1.8509
May 1.9412 1.8873 1.9129
June 1.9309 1.8803 1.9051
July 1.9045 1.8772 1.8916
August 1.9451 1.8923 1.9215
September 1.9071 1.8518 1.8817
October 1.9569 1.8868 1.9120
November 1.9932 1.9467 1.9721
December 1.9961 1.9395 1.9692