YEARLY HIGH
24.0055 UGX
YEARLY LOW
19.8414 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
22.0752 UGX

2021 PKR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the PKR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 31, valuing the pair at 24.0055. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 19.8414.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.1641 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 22.9841 to the December average rate of 20.0242, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 24.0055 was down 2.73% compared to the 2020 peak of 24.6801, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 500,000 PKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,002,746 UGX
2020 Average 11,492,349 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 9,920,709 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,082,037.46 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

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24.0427
19.6589
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PKR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 23.1569, compared to 20.9935 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.1634 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 23.1569
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 20.9935

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.8633 UGX (High: 20.9524 / Low: 20.0891). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3784 UGX (High: 23.2256 / Low: 22.8472).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą0.8633
February Spread (Stable) Âą0.3784

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.7200 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7200

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2021: 23.4552) against the same month in 2020 (average: 23.7937), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3385 (-1.42%).

2021 Avg (March) 23.4552
2020 Avg (March) 23.7937

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Month High Low Average
January 23.1500 22.7045 22.9841
February 23.2256 22.8472 23.0073
March 24.0055 23.1982 23.4552
April 23.9806 23.2465 23.6774
May 23.3605 22.8668 23.1808
June 22.9760 22.4591 22.6365
July 22.5930 21.8142 22.1958
August 21.8510 21.1850 21.4758
September 21.1516 20.7248 20.9527
October 21.1682 20.3104 20.8073
November 20.9524 20.0891 20.5053
December 20.3300 19.8414 20.0242