YEARLY HIGH
1.1484 KES
YEARLY LOW
1.0702 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1032 KES

2021 RSD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RSD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 1.1484. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 24, dropping to 1.0702.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0782 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1358 to the December average rate of 1.0863, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.1484 was down 1.32% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.1637, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,742 KES
2020 Average 5,174 KES
Yearly Trough Low 5,351 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 390.97 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

āĻĒā§āϰāĻŦāĻŖāϤāĻžāϰ āϚāĻŋāĻ¤ā§āϰāĻžāϝāĻŧāύ

2021 āϏāĻžāϞ āϜ⧁āĻĄāĻŧ⧇ āĻŽāĻžāϏāĻŋāĻ• āĻ—āĻĄāĻŧ āĻ“āĻ āĻžāύāĻžāĻŽāĻžāĨ¤

1.1407
1.0812
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1142, compared to 1.0922 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0220 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1142
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0922

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0360 KES (High: 1.1171 / Low: 1.0811). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0135 KES (High: 1.0970 / Low: 1.0835).

April Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0360
July Spread (Stable) Âą0.0135

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0174 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0174

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 1.1358) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.9548), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1810 (+18.96%).

2021 Avg (January) 1.1358
2020 Avg (January) 0.9548

āĻŽāĻžāϏāĻŋāĻ• āĻŦāĻŋāĻļā§āϞ⧇āώāĻŖ

āĻĒā§āϰāϤāĻŋāϟāĻŋ āĻ•ā§āϝāĻžāϞ⧇āĻ¨ā§āĻĄāĻžāϰ āĻŽāĻžāϏ⧇āϰ āĻĒāϰāĻŋāϏāĻ‚āĻ–ā§āϝāĻžāύāĻ—āϤ āϏāĻžāϰāϏāĻ‚āĻ•ā§āώ⧇āĻĒāĨ¤

Month High Low Average
January 1.1484 1.1271 1.1358
February 1.1363 1.1170 1.1276
March 1.1249 1.0925 1.1102
April 1.1171 1.0811 1.0969
May 1.1245 1.0920 1.1096
June 1.1193 1.0907 1.1050
July 1.0970 1.0835 1.0882
August 1.1060 1.0873 1.0943
September 1.1112 1.0874 1.1036
October 1.1026 1.0860 1.0945
November 1.1009 1.0702 1.0861
December 1.0945 1.0808 1.0863