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2012 RSD to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012
During 2012, the RSD to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 0.1000. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 25, dropping to 0.0818.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0182 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0983 to the December average rate of 0.0924, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.1000 was down 17.06% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.1205, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:
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RSD to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 0.0938, compared to 0.0885 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.0053 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.0103 MOP (High: 0.0947 / Low: 0.0844). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0020 MOP (High: 0.0960 / Low: 0.0940).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0041 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 0.0977) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.1061), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0084 (-7.88%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0.0994 | 0.0970 | 0.0983 |
| February | 0.1000 | 0.0966 | 0.0977 |
| March | 0.0962 | 0.0942 | 0.0954 |
| April | 0.0960 | 0.0940 | 0.0945 |
| May | 0.0947 | 0.0844 | 0.0904 |
| June | 0.0887 | 0.0845 | 0.0867 |
| July | 0.0875 | 0.0818 | 0.0844 |
| August | 0.0853 | 0.0826 | 0.0840 |
| September | 0.0909 | 0.0848 | 0.0884 |
| October | 0.0937 | 0.0892 | 0.0911 |
| November | 0.0923 | 0.0901 | 0.0908 |
| December | 0.0935 | 0.0905 | 0.0924 |