YEARLY HIGH
3.7463 MRO
YEARLY LOW
0.0096 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.5092 MRO

2021 RSD to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RSD to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 3.7463. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 0.0096.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.7366 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.6887 to the December average rate of 2.4362, the exchange rate registered a net change of -33.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 3.7463 was up 0.30% compared to the 2020 peak of 3.7351, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,731 MRO
2020 Average 17,331 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 48 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,683.19 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

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3.8140
2.3110
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.6575, compared to 3.3609 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2966 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.6575
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.3609

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 3.4349 MRO (High: 3.4446 / Low: 0.0096). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0324 MRO (High: 3.5403 / Low: 3.5079).

December Spread (Volatile) Âą3.4349
October Spread (Stable) Âą0.0324

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.0259 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0259

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 3.6887) against the same month in 2020 (average: 3.3717), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3170 (+9.40%).

2021 Avg (January) 3.6887
2020 Avg (January) 3.3717

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Month High Low Average
January 3.7463 3.6653 3.6887
February 3.6948 3.6366 3.6709
March 3.6619 3.5620 3.6134
April 3.6809 3.5631 3.6267
May 3.7197 3.6464 3.6865
June 3.7100 3.6122 3.6587
July 3.6222 3.5732 3.5923
August 3.6139 3.5450 3.5741
September 3.6049 3.5131 3.5765
October 3.5403 3.5079 3.5240
November 3.5219 3.4016 3.4622
December 3.4446 0.0096 2.4362