YEARLY HIGH
0.2964 UAH
YEARLY LOW
0.2541 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2746 UAH

2021 RSD to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RSD to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 0.2964. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 11, dropping to 0.2541.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0423 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2916 to the December average rate of 0.2617, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.2964 was down 0.02% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.2965, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,482 UAH
2020 Average 1,311 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 1,271 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 211.46 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.2950
0.2535
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2845, compared to 0.2647 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0198 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2845
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2647

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was September, with a trading range of 0.0101 UAH (High: 0.2720 / Low: 0.2619). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0039 UAH (High: 0.2870 / Low: 0.2832).

September Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0101
May Spread (Stable) Âą0.0039

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0075 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0075

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.2916) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.2283), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0633 (+27.73%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.2916
2020 Avg (January) 0.2283

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Month High Low Average
January 0.2964 0.2885 0.2916
February 0.2892 0.2828 0.2867
March 0.2870 0.2779 0.2813
April 0.2876 0.2779 0.2835
May 0.2870 0.2832 0.2850
June 0.2852 0.2756 0.2789
July 0.2779 0.2695 0.2736
August 0.2716 0.2648 0.2681
September 0.2720 0.2619 0.2678
October 0.2623 0.2583 0.2602
November 0.2629 0.2541 0.2569
December 0.2639 0.2582 0.2617