YEARLY HIGH
1.0790 BTN
YEARLY LOW
0.9453 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0025 BTN

2021 RUB to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RUB to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 26, valuing the pair at 1.0790. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 23, dropping to 0.9453.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1337 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9816 to the December average rate of 1.0197, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.88% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.0790 was down 7.73% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.1694, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,395 BTN
2020 Average 5,143 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 4,726 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 668.60 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

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1.0575
0.9680
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9859, compared to 1.0191 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0331 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9859
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0191

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.0609 BTN (High: 1.0459 / Low: 0.9850). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0123 BTN (High: 0.9963 / Low: 0.9839).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0609
May Spread (Stable) Âą0.0123

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0296 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0296

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 1.0500) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.9480), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1020 (+10.75%).

2021 Avg (October) 1.0500
2020 Avg (October) 0.9480

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Month High Low Average
January 0.9967 0.9586 0.9816
February 0.9894 0.9557 0.9777
March 0.9954 0.9453 0.9754
April 1.0004 0.9463 0.9770
May 0.9963 0.9839 0.9901
June 1.0278 0.9915 1.0136
July 1.0169 0.9980 1.0072
August 1.0187 0.9945 1.0083
September 1.0206 1.0005 1.0088
October 1.0790 1.0185 1.0500
November 1.0459 0.9850 1.0204
December 1.0367 0.9944 1.0197