YEARLY HIGH
5.1375 MRO
YEARLY LOW
0.0134 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.7285 MRO

2021 RUB to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RUB to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 26, valuing the pair at 5.1375. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.0134.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.1241 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7932 to the December average rate of 3.4347, the exchange rate registered a net change of -28.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 5.1375 was down 12.19% compared to the 2020 peak of 5.8510, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,688 MRO
2020 Average 24,808 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 67 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 25,620.73 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

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5.1639
3.2775
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.8044, compared to 4.6525 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1519 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.8044
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.6525

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 4.8488 MRO (High: 4.8621 / Low: 0.0134). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0755 MRO (High: 4.9394 / Low: 4.8639).

December Spread (Volatile) Âą4.8488
September Spread (Stable) Âą0.0755

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.4589 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4589

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 5.0067) against the same month in 2020 (average: 4.6025), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4042 (+8.78%).

2021 Avg (October) 5.0067
2020 Avg (October) 4.6025

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Month High Low Average
January 4.8683 4.6845 4.7932
February 4.8659 4.6833 4.8027
March 4.9058 4.6566 4.7905
April 4.7985 4.6109 4.6930
May 4.8770 4.7416 4.8282
June 4.9739 4.8538 4.9188
July 4.8804 4.7761 4.8290
August 4.8921 4.8042 4.8535
September 4.9394 4.8639 4.8977
October 5.1375 4.9052 5.0067
November 5.0467 4.7234 4.8936
December 4.8621 0.0134 3.4347